Agung Setyabudi Predicts Narrow Indonesia Win Over Thailand in ASEAN Cup Final: 55-45

Former Indonesia national team captain Agung Setyabudi sees Indonesia's chances of beating Thailand in the 2026 FIFA ASEAN Cup final as only narrowly ahead. He expects the Garuda squad to win by a 55:45 margin in the match at Gelora Bung Karno Main Stadium, Jakarta, on Monday (5/10/2026) at 20.00 WIB.

According to Agung, the quality of both teams' players is nearly equal, so the match is expected to be evenly contested. "Indonesia's chances are slightly ahead, 55-45. In terms of play it's balanced, with player quality that is almost similar," he told Bola.com on Sunday (4/10/2026).

The man who recorded 53 appearances for the Indonesia national team predicts a 1-0 or 2-0 win for Indonesia. He does not expect the match to go to extra time or a penalty shootout. "My prediction is a 1-0 or 2-0 win, not going to extra time or penalties," said Agung.

The home factor is one advantage Agung highlighted. According to him, direct support from the fans can add motivation and confidence for Kevin Diks and company. "Indonesia has the advantage of being the host because they play in front of their own supporters. They get more motivation and confidence than Thailand," said the man from Solo.

Although he favors Indonesia, Agung warned that Thailand remains a dangerous opponent. He considers Thailand to have come with serious preparation and to have brought a number of their best players. Names such as Chanathip Songkrasin, Nicholas Mickelson, Seksan Ratree, and striker Supachai Chaided are seen as capable of troubling Indonesia's back line, which features Justin Hubner and company.

Thailand also has an advantage in terms of fitness. A number of their key players got rest time when they lost 1-2 to the Philippines in their final group-stage match. "Thailand is no less ready, they even have the advantage of better physical fitness with the rotation of their key players in the last group-stage match. What is clear is that both teams are equally confident for the final," said Agung.

Indonesia's run to the final was driven by an impressive group-stage performance. The squad coached by John Herdman won Group A with seven points from three matches, ahead of Malaysia, which had the same points, on goals scored. In their final match, Indonesia crushed Bangladesh 9-2, securing their ticket to the final.

On the other side, Thailand advanced as Group B winners with six points. Their points tally was equal to Vietnam's, but The War Elephants were ahead on head-to-head and goal difference. The balanced quality of both teams means the final is expected to be tight.

This final is an important moment for Indonesia to prove its dominance at the regional level. Full support from 67 thousand spectators at Gelora Bung Karno Main Stadium could be extra energy, but also pressure in itself. The question is whether the Garuda squad can use their host status to end Thailand's resistance, or whether it will be the other way around?