Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Picks: Thunder Star's Game 5 Ceiling Capped
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- Gilgeous-Alexander's points prop sits at 28.
- 5, below his playoff average of 31.
- 2, reflecting San Antonio's defensive adjustments.
Gilgeous-Alexander's points prop sits at 28. 5, below his playoff average of 31. 2, reflecting San Antonio's defensive adjustments.
Oklahoma City's supporting cast must step up if the Thunder hope to close out the series. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren combined for 45 points in Game 4, a positive sign for a team needing secondary scoring. The Thunder's offense ranks fourth in playoff efficiency, but Gilgeous-Alexander's usage rate drops to 28% when doubled.
San Antonio's home crowd at the AT&T Center provides an additional advantage, with the Spurs posting a 3-1 home record in the playoffs. Game 5 marks a pivotal moment: a Thunder win forces a Game 6 elimination scenario, while a Spurs victory shifts momentum. Expect Gregg Popovich to continue exploiting SGA's pick-and-roll coverages.
Power Move: Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring dip isn't a slumpโit's a tactical battle. The Thunder must adjust by running more off-ball screens for their star or risk letting the Spurs force a Game 6. Betting the under on SGA's points prop offers value as long as San Antonio's defensive scheme holds.
This article was edited with AI assistance for readability. Read original here.



